Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Grand Archive
decks
2
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
5-5-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.0%
avg ELO +1.3 per match
expected value
46.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1187
· median 1187
· range 1143–1232
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1053
Q1 1152
Q3 1336
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Wind Allies | 15.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.0% | -15.4 |
| Slimes | 11.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.9% | +20.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.9% | -6.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +3.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.4 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tonoris | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.3 |
| Wind Vanitas | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
